Exponential Silver Rally! What it Means and Will it Continue?

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Gold    Silver    Economy    Central Banking

(July 2012)

This graph shows monthly silver prices from 2000 through 2012. The two lines that mark the top and bottom edges of the channel show that most prices were found within a modest price difference, larger or smaller, from the center line running through the center of the channel. Please note that the silver prices shown on the right are in cents and the scale is logarithmic – the distance from 750 to 1500 is the same as from 1500 to 3000. Currently, silver is below the center line, is oversold, and due for a rally.

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The chart shows that for over a decade, silver prices have increased exponentially, doubling approximately every three and one half years, with occasionally severe spikes and dips. Given our current economic policies, I see many reasons why this long-term trend will continue.

GE Christenson
aka Deviant Investor

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4 thoughts on “Exponential Silver Rally! What it Means and Will it Continue?

  1. DI had some good suggestions on silver. I might also add that “Constitutional Silver” or “Junk silver” is a good choice (pre 1965 90% silver coinage.) You can buy this at a very low premium, usually less than any bars or bullion coins available. The upside is that they are universally recognized as legit and pure and small denominations would make it easy to “spend” if you had to. Besides APMEX and Provident, which are good reliable and reasonable dealers, if you can afford a minimum 500 oz order of 15 or 16 grand, Tulving has ROCK BOTTOM prices. You can buy even bullion with normally high premiums (Eagles, Perth Mint products, etc) with very very small premiums compared to competitors.

  2. I plan to purchase some silver in the next couple of weeks. I am not sure of the denominations I should purchase. What would you suggest?

    • What you actually purchase depends upon personal preference and your storage conditions. If space is tight, then 100 oz bars are excellent, because they stack well, take little room, and have a low premium per oz over the “spot” price. Premiums vary depending on supply and demand at the time of sale, but a reasonable estimate is 2% to 4% premium on 100 oz bars. The same is true on 10 oz bars – they stack well and have a low premium, occasionally lower than the 100 oz bars.

      My favorites are 1 oz Silver Eagles (US Mint) and 1 oz Silver Maple Leafs (Canadian). They are both beautiful coins, are universally recognized and accepted, and come in convenient tubes of 20 or 25 coins each. The premium is usually higher – say 8% to 10% when you buy, but you will get some of that back when you sell – say 4% to 5% above spot price, depending on supply and demand.

      One additional thought: If the US Mint or the Canadian Mint ever stop producing Eagles or Maple Leafs, the premium on all existing coins will probably rise considerably. That will make all of your coins more valuable.

      One final thought: please store your bars and coins safely – preferably in secure bonded warehouses or at a small local bank in a safe deposit box.

      I hope this helps.


      GE Christenson
      aka Deviant Investor

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